Economic Data
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Summary & Highlights

Index Steady as Small Businesses Say High Inflation Still Top Concern

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This quarter, small businesses’ concern over inflation remained at record highs as small businesses enter a crucial holiday season according to the latest MetLife & U.S. Chamber of Commerce Small Business Index. This quarter’s score of 62.1 matches last quarter’s score, which marked the largest quarterly drop since the Index plummeted at the start of the pandemic.

Overall, the survey—conducted between October 11-27, 2022—shows a remarkable consistency with findings last quarter across nearly all the questions that comprise the Index. This consistency reflects continued feelings of uncertainty about the broader economic environment that small business owners face.

Small business owners say inflation remains the top challenge (53%) for the fourth consecutive quarter, having jumped 30 percentage points since this time last year. Additionally, roughly four in five say rising prices have had a significant impact on their business this year, a consistent share for the third consecutive quarter. Meanwhile, concerns over supply chain issues have slightly cooled, shifting six percentage points down from last quarter (20% vs. 26%, respectively).

53%
of small business owners say inflation remains the top challenge
53%
of small business owners say inflation remains the top challenge
Gauge showing 62.1 for the Small Business Index
Q4 2022 SBI:62.1
This quarter’s score of 62.1 matches last quarter’s score, which marked the largest quarterly drop since the Index plummeted at the start of the pandemic.

The upcoming holiday season is increasingly pivotal for small businesses’ overall profit, but there may be increased anxiety about it, especially for retailers. About eight in ten small businesses say the upcoming holiday season is important for their overall profit, a nine-percentage-point increase compared to this time last year (Q4 2021). Three in five say they expect less revenue than usual this holiday season.

Finally, most small businesses report giving back to their local communities. Two-thirds of small businesses (66%) say they have donated to local charities over the past year. While over half say they have encouraged employees to shop at local small businesses (70%), sponsored or donated goods/services to local events (64%), or offered discounts to certain groups within the community (56%). Furthermore, nine in ten say businesses should give back to their local communities, and four in five say they have a clearly defined mission that includes giving back. Likewise, about nine in ten (93%) report having taken at least one step to engage with their community in the past year.

66%
of small businesses say they have donated to local charities over the past year
66%
of small businesses say they have donated to local charities over the past year

Small Business Index Score 2019 Q1 - 2022 Q4

Small Business Index Score 2019 Q1 - 2022 Q4 line graph
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Index Highlights

The MetLife and U.S. Chamber of Commerce Small Business Index score for Q4 is 62.1. The Index score for Q3 2022 was also 62.1. At the start of the pandemic in Q2 2020, it reached an all-time low of 39.5.1

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Index score is unchanged.

The MetLife & U.S. Chamber of Commerce Small Business Index remained at 62.1 for a second quarter in a row. In Q3 it had fallen significantly, representing the largest quarterly drop since the start of the pandemic.
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Inflation remains the top concern, by far.

Over half of small businesses (53%) say inflation is the top challenge facing the small business community, a dramatic 30-point increase since this time last year. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter that inflation tops the list of challenges.
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Supply chain concerns fade.

Concerns over supply chain issues have slightly cooled, shifting six percentage points from last quarter (20% vs. 26%, respectively). However, 61% say they expect supply chain disruptions will make it difficult to manage the coming holiday season.
Learn more
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Vast majority see a crucial holiday season.

79% say the upcoming holiday season is important for their overall profit, a nine-percentage-point increase from this time last year.
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Small businesses anticipate rising holiday prices in response to inflation.

69% report expecting to raise the prices of goods or services this holiday season due to inflation. Also, 61% report expecting less revenue than usual this holiday season because of inflation.
Learn more
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Over half of small businesses report making community donations.

Two-thirds of small businesses (66%) say they have donated to local charities over the past year. While over half (56%) say they have offered discounts to certain groups within the community.
Learn more
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Other top ways for small businesses to give back include:

Encouraging employees to shop at other small businesses in the community (70%), and sponsoring or donating goods/services to local events (64%).
Learn more
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Small businesses see steady economic patterns.

64% report that their business is in good health, unchanged from Q3 2022 (65%) and Q2 2022 (66%). Roughly three in ten (27%) say the U.S. economy and their local economy (30%) are in good health, consistent with Q3 2022.
Learn more
#

Index score is unchanged.

The MetLife & U.S. Chamber of Commerce Small Business Index remained at 62.1 for a second quarter in a row. In Q3 it had fallen significantly, representing the largest quarterly drop since the start of the pandemic.
Learn more
#

Inflation remains the top concern, by far.

Over half of small businesses (53%) say inflation is the top challenge facing the small business community, a dramatic 30-point increase since this time last year. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter that inflation tops the list of challenges.
Learn more
#

Supply chain concerns fade.

Concerns over supply chain issues have slightly cooled, shifting six percentage points from last quarter (20% vs. 26%, respectively). However, 61% say they expect supply chain disruptions will make it difficult to manage the coming holiday season.
Learn more
#

Vast majority see a crucial holiday season.

79% say the upcoming holiday season is important for their overall profit, a nine-percentage-point increase from this time last year.
Learn more
#

Small businesses anticipate rising holiday prices in response to inflation.

69% report expecting to raise the prices of goods or services this holiday season due to inflation. Also, 61% report expecting less revenue than usual this holiday season because of inflation.
Learn more
#

Over half of small businesses report making community donations.

Two-thirds of small businesses (66%) say they have donated to local charities over the past year. While over half (56%) say they have offered discounts to certain groups within the community.
Learn more
#

Other top ways for small businesses to give back include:

Encouraging employees to shop at other small businesses in the community (70%), and sponsoring or donating goods/services to local events (64%).
Learn more
#

Small businesses see steady economic patterns.

64% report that their business is in good health, unchanged from Q3 2022 (65%) and Q2 2022 (66%). Roughly three in ten (27%) say the U.S. economy and their local economy (30%) are in good health, consistent with Q3 2022.
Learn more
1. Since we moved to monthly (or near-monthly) tracking for much of 2020, the Index ratings for Q2 2020 and Q3 2020 are based on an average of responses from all surveys in that quarter. The Q3 2020 Index was calculated based on 1,100 interviews from the July and September surveys. The Q2 Index was calculated based on 1,500 interviews from the April, May, and June surveys. From Q4 2020 to the present, the Index score is calculated based on a single survey of approximately 750 interviews per quarter. While significant changes in data points from Q1 2020 to the pandemic-era quarters can largely be attributed to the recent economic environment, switching from a phone to an online approach may have also generated a mode effect.